Race 13A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Philip Alley 46.0% 27.7% 12.2% 8.3% 3.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Hines 17.1% 22.1% 20.8% 15.0% 11.5% 7.5% 4.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 12.9% 15.6% 20.7% 15.1% 14.9% 10.5% 6.3% 2.9% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Julie Webster 2.5% 4.6% 6.6% 10.0% 11.3% 12.2% 16.2% 16.0% 15.0% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Roy Ingham 7.0% 9.8% 10.3% 14.7% 14.4% 14.1% 13.1% 8.5% 6.1% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Lovo 5.0% 6.3% 7.1% 9.9% 10.9% 13.2% 13.6% 15.2% 13.1% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 3.3% 4.8% 8.0% 10.0% 12.2% 13.6% 16.5% 13.5% 13.2% 4.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.7% 4.6% 8.2% 9.5% 10.5% 11.1% 14.3% 17.6% 14.6% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 3.7% 4.6% 8.2% 9.5% 10.5% 11.1% 14.3% 17.6% 14.6% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 1.9% 3.7% 4.9% 5.5% 7.9% 13.0% 11.1% 17.0% 23.2% 11.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Stege 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 2.0% 2.8% 3.5% 4.1% 7.8% 13.2% 64.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 1.9% 3.7% 4.9% 5.5% 7.9% 13.0% 11.1% 17.0% 23.2% 11.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.