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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+3.00vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+1.75vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.55+1.08vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.74+2.33vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.78+4.40vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.72+3.89vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.84-0.98vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.95+0.76vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.37+2.01vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.05+1.84vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.36+2.09vs Predicted
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12The Citadel1.11-3.60vs Predicted
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13University of Florida1.38-5.42vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University0.81-4.52vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-0.36-2.05vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.81-0.08vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.50-6.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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3.75University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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4.08Jacksonville University2.550.2%1st Place
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6.33Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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9.4Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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9.89University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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6.02Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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8.76Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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11.01Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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11.84Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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13.09Georgia Institute of Technology-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.4The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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7.58University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
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9.48Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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12.95Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
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15.92University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.810.0%1st Place
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10.51University of South Florida0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 17.9% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 19.3% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 17.4% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Ian Street | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Sean Tallman | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 1.9% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 4.7% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 22.9% | 11.2% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.4% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Snyder | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Hardt | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Sara Boyd | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 22.2% | 11.1% |
| Drew Davey | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 12.5% | 67.3% |
| Robert Newland | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.