← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.55+3.01vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami2.66+1.79vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University2.54+1.11vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College1.74+2.40vs Predicted
-
5Florida Institute of Technology0.78+4.35vs Predicted
-
6The Citadel1.11+2.56vs Predicted
-
7University of South Carolina0.72+2.72vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College1.84-2.03vs Predicted
-
9Duke University0.95+0.03vs Predicted
-
10University of Florida1.38-2.66vs Predicted
-
11Embry-Riddle University0.81-1.53vs Predicted
-
12Rollins College0.37-1.19vs Predicted
-
13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.36+0.07vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida0.50-3.43vs Predicted
-
15Auburn University-0.36-2.05vs Predicted
-
16Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-4.10vs Predicted
-
17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.81-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.01Jacksonville University2.550.2%1st Place
-
3.79University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
-
4.11North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
-
6.4Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
-
9.35Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
-
8.56The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
-
9.72University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
-
5.97Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
-
9.03Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
-
7.34University of Florida1.380.0%1st Place
-
9.47Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
-
10.81Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
-
13.07Georgia Institute of Technology-0.360.0%1st Place
-
10.57University of South Florida0.500.0%1st Place
-
12.95Auburn University-0.360.0%1st Place
-
11.9Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
-
15.95University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Rose | 18.4% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 19.3% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 16.9% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Sean Tallman | 10.1% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Snyder | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 1.9% |
| Isabelle Pobanz | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 11.7% |
| Robert Newland | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 1.1% |
| Sara Boyd | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 23.7% | 10.1% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 4.7% |
| Drew Davey | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 13.2% | 66.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.