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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.27+2.44vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.37+3.76vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.33+2.85vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.97-0.03vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.12+1.33vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina1.28-0.15vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.11+2.67vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.18+2.64vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.07+0.80vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+0.64vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.44-2.27vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05-1.47vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology0.29-4.06vs Predicted
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14University of Florida-0.88-1.45vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College-0.17-4.42vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-1.27-2.21vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-3.06-0.28vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-3.72-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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5.76University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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5.85North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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3.97Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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6.33Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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5.85University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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9.67The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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10.64Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.8Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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10.64Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.73Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
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10.53University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
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8.94Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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12.55University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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10.58Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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13.79Auburn University-1.270.0%1st Place
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16.72Embry-Riddle University-3.060.0%1st Place
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17.2Georgia Institute of Technology-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 23.1% | 20.6% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 18.9% | 17.9% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Marco Distel | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 6.3% | 0.9% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 30.1% | 11.5% | 1.8% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 8.0% | 47.2% | 34.2% |
| Jared Williams | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 5.0% | 25.7% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.