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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.33+4.88vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.27+1.43vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.97+1.03vs Predicted
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4Duke University-0.18+6.54vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College-0.17+5.57vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.29+3.17vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.12-0.63vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.07+1.72vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.37-3.45vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina1.28-3.92vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.46vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05-1.49vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-3.06+3.61vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.44-5.61vs Predicted
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15University of Florida-0.88-2.27vs Predicted
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16The Citadel0.11-6.23vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-1.27-3.13vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-3.72-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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3.43University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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4.03Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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10.54Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.57Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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9.17Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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6.37Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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9.72Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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5.55University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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6.08University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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10.54Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.51University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
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16.61Embry-Riddle University-3.060.0%1st Place
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8.39Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
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12.73University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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9.77The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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13.87Auburn University-1.270.0%1st Place
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17.24Georgia Institute of Technology-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hogan O'Donnell | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 20.6% | 22.4% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 16.9% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 9.0% | 46.9% | 31.7% |
| Joe Seiffert | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marco Distel | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 16.8% | 19.3% | 6.9% | 0.6% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 29.6% | 13.0% | 2.5% |
| Jared Williams | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 24.9% | 64.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.