← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College-0.17+9.75vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami2.27+1.46vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University1.33+2.86vs Predicted
-
4Florida State University1.97-0.04vs Predicted
-
5Rollins College0.07+4.69vs Predicted
-
6Georgia Institute of Technology0.29+3.10vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College1.12-0.66vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University0.44+0.54vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05+1.22vs Predicted
-
10Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+0.64vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida1.37-5.25vs Predicted
-
12University of Florida-0.88+0.96vs Predicted
-
13The Citadel0.11-3.46vs Predicted
-
14University of South Carolina1.28-8.27vs Predicted
-
15Embry-Riddle University-3.06+1.70vs Predicted
-
16Duke University-0.18-5.29vs Predicted
-
17Auburn University-1.27-3.15vs Predicted
-
18Georgia Institute of Technology-3.72-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.75Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
-
3.46University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
-
5.86North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
-
3.96Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
-
9.69Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
-
9.1Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
-
6.34Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
-
8.54Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
-
10.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
-
10.64Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
-
5.75University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
-
12.96University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
-
9.54The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
-
5.73University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
-
16.7Embry-Riddle University-3.060.0%1st Place
-
10.71Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
-
13.85Auburn University-1.270.0%1st Place
-
17.21Georgia Institute of Technology-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Schwartz | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 20.2% | 20.4% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 19.7% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marco Distel | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 18.3% | 20.8% | 7.5% | 0.9% |
| Lewis Bragg | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| David Manley | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 7.8% | 48.7% | 32.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 30.3% | 13.0% | 2.2% |
| Jared Williams | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 24.4% | 64.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.