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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.27+2.36vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.28+3.85vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.97+0.95vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.37+1.38vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.18+5.25vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.11+3.42vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.33-1.40vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.44+0.22vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.12-2.89vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.07-0.33vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-0.88+1.44vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College-0.17-1.44vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-3.06+3.44vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-1.27-0.81vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-4.97vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology0.29-7.15vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-2.47vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-3.72-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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5.85University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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3.95Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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5.38University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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10.25Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.42The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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5.6North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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8.22Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
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6.11Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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9.67Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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12.44University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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10.56Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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16.44Embry-Riddle University-3.060.0%1st Place
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13.19Auburn University-1.270.0%1st Place
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10.03Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.85Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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14.53University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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17.14Georgia Institute of Technology-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Dennis | 23.9% | 20.4% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 6.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 18.1% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.8% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marco Distel | 1.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 13.3% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 12.6% | 41.3% | 30.3% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 18.1% | 20.0% | 9.4% | 1.4% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 31.5% | 18.2% | 4.0% |
| Jared Williams | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 22.2% | 63.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.