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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.07+8.68vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.33+3.71vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.28+2.83vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.27-0.74vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.11+4.29vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.37-0.58vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.97-3.08vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.12-1.90vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+1.10vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.18+0.50vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.29-2.15vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College-0.17-1.46vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75+1.27vs Predicted
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14University of Florida-0.88-1.84vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-1.27-1.64vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.44-7.66vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-3.06-0.44vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-3.72-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.68Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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5.71North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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5.83University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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3.26University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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9.29The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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5.42University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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3.92Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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6.1Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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10.1Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.5Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.85Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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10.54Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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14.27University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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12.16University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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13.36Auburn University-1.270.0%1st Place
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8.34Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
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16.56Embry-Riddle University-3.060.0%1st Place
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17.12Georgia Institute of Technology-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Orhan | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 24.4% | 22.1% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 17.0% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 30.4% | 17.1% | 3.3% |
| Marco Distel | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 21.5% | 19.1% | 10.2% | 0.8% |
| Joe Seiffert | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 11.1% | 41.6% | 33.1% |
| Jared Williams | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 6.1% | 23.4% | 61.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.