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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.33+4.73vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.97+2.02vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.27+0.34vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.28+1.69vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.12+1.14vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.44+2.34vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.07+2.47vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.37-2.57vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.11+0.31vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.18+0.48vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17-0.69vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-1.68vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology0.29-4.39vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-3.72+3.14vs Predicted
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15University of Florida-0.88-2.68vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-1.27-2.56vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-3.06-0.41vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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4.02Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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3.34University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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5.69University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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6.14Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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8.34Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
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9.47Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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5.43University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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9.31The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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10.48Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.31Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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10.32Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.61Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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17.14Georgia Institute of Technology-3.720.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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13.44Auburn University-1.270.0%1st Place
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16.59Embry-Riddle University-3.060.0%1st Place
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14.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hogan O'Donnell | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 14.6% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 23.4% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jared Williams | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 3.3% | 8.3% | 24.3% | 59.6% |
| Marco Distel | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 5.0% | 0.1% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 20.2% | 9.7% | 0.9% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 10.7% | 41.0% | 35.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 16.4% | 29.3% | 16.2% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.