Race 14A

north-spring-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Philip Alley 46.1% 26.4% 14.1% 7.4% 4.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 4.6% 4.5% 7.3% 9.1% 11.9% 15.8% 13.7% 14.1% 13.6% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Lovo 3.5% 6.7% 6.9% 9.0% 10.8% 13.1% 17.1% 14.7% 12.8% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Soosalu 11.6% 17.2% 20.8% 17.1% 13.4% 9.8% 5.6% 3.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Billy Hines 17.9% 21.6% 20.6% 18.0% 9.7% 6.0% 3.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 4.1% 6.1% 6.3% 8.0% 11.8% 13.6% 13.6% 14.0% 15.4% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 2.0% 3.1% 4.5% 6.6% 7.9% 9.6% 16.1% 17.6% 21.0% 11.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Julie Webster 3.4% 5.0% 7.5% 8.6% 11.6% 12.6% 12.9% 16.6% 15.8% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Roy Ingham 6.1% 8.8% 11.0% 13.9% 16.1% 14.5% 12.9% 9.6% 5.8% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ventrilla 4.1% 6.1% 6.3% 8.0% 11.8% 13.6% 13.6% 14.0% 15.4% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Stege 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 2.3% 2.6% 3.8% 4.0% 7.7% 14.2% 63.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 2.0% 3.1% 4.5% 6.6% 7.9% 9.6% 16.1% 17.6% 21.0% 11.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.