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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.07+8.80vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.97+2.07vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.37+2.69vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.27-0.67vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.33+0.67vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College-0.17+4.44vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina1.28-1.21vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.44+0.43vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.29-0.05vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05+0.23vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.62vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-0.88+0.68vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.12-6.77vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.18-3.79vs Predicted
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15The Citadel0.11-5.48vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-3.05+0.32vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-3.72+0.06vs Predicted
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18Embry-Riddle University-3.06-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.8Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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4.07Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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5.69University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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3.33University of Miami2.270.3%1st Place
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5.67North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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10.44Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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5.79University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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8.43Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
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8.95Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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10.23University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
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10.38Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.68University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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6.23Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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10.21Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.52The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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16.32Auburn University-3.050.0%1st Place
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17.06Georgia Institute of Technology-3.720.0%1st Place
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16.2Embry-Riddle University-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Orhan | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 12.9% | 19.2% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 26.3% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| David Manley | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marco Distel | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 24.2% | 13.5% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kamran Kangal | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 26.8% | 35.1% | 23.9% |
| Jared Williams | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 14.5% | 25.5% | 53.4% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 27.8% | 34.7% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.