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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.97+3.12vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.12+4.51vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.37+2.70vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.33+1.58vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.18+5.38vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.07+3.71vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina1.28-1.19vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.29+0.86vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05+1.15vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.27-6.53vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-0.88+1.52vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College-0.17-1.27vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-2.91vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.44-5.78vs Predicted
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15The Citadel0.11-5.47vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-3.05+0.34vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-3.06-0.67vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-3.72-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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6.51Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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5.7University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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5.58North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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10.38Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.71Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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5.81University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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8.86Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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10.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
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3.47University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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12.52University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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10.73Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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10.09Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.22Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
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9.53The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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16.34Auburn University-3.050.0%1st Place
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16.33Embry-Riddle University-3.060.0%1st Place
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16.95Georgia Institute of Technology-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Meagher | 16.7% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 10.7% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 22.8% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marco Distel | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 25.8% | 12.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Lily Schwartz | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kamran Kangal | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 27.1% | 36.4% | 23.4% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 5.8% | 28.6% | 32.1% | 25.2% |
| Jared Williams | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 3.6% | 13.1% | 27.1% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.