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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University-0.18+9.57vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.37+3.67vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.07+6.83vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.28+1.80vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.27-1.65vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.12+0.23vs Predicted
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7Florida State University1.97-2.97vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.17+2.33vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.33-3.38vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.29-0.85vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05-0.87vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.44-3.27vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-2.88vs Predicted
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14The Citadel0.11-4.67vs Predicted
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15University of Florida-0.88-2.52vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-3.72+1.09vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-3.06-0.66vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-3.05-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.57Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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5.67University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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9.83Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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5.8University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Miami2.270.3%1st Place
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6.23Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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4.03Florida State University1.970.2%1st Place
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10.33Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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5.62North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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9.15Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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10.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
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8.73Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
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10.12Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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9.33The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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17.09Georgia Institute of Technology-3.720.0%1st Place
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16.34Embry-Riddle University-3.060.0%1st Place
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16.18Auburn University-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 26.7% | 19.4% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.7% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 17.8% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marco Distel | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 24.8% | 12.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Jared Williams | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 13.4% | 23.8% | 55.5% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 26.3% | 34.6% | 24.8% |
| Kamran Kangal | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 30.1% | 37.3% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.