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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.65+3.30vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.33+3.17vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.12+2.79vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.28+1.47vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.37-0.03vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.27-2.82vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.11+1.78vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.29+0.02vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.07+0.01vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75+3.50vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-0.88+0.60vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.18-2.44vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-3.47vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-1.27-1.44vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College-0.17-5.36vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-3.06-0.39vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-3.72-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.17North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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5.79Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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5.47University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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4.97University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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3.18University of Miami2.270.3%1st Place
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8.78The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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8.02Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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9.01Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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13.5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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9.56Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.53Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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12.56Auburn University-1.270.0%1st Place
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9.64Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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15.61Embry-Riddle University-3.060.0%1st Place
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16.32Georgia Institute of Technology-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 14.3% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 10.6% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 25.2% | 21.3% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 28.7% | 15.3% | 4.1% |
| Marco Distel | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 19.3% | 21.8% | 9.0% | 1.2% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 11.9% | 44.8% | 30.1% |
| Jared Williams | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 23.4% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.