← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.65+3.33vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami2.27+1.05vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University1.33+2.22vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College1.12+1.81vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.37+0.04vs Predicted
-
6Georgia Institute of Technology0.29+2.29vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75+6.48vs Predicted
-
8University of South Carolina1.28-2.73vs Predicted
-
9Duke University-0.18+0.72vs Predicted
-
10Auburn University-1.27+2.51vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College-0.17-1.33vs Predicted
-
12University of Florida-0.88-0.41vs Predicted
-
13Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-3.52vs Predicted
-
14Rollins College0.07-5.07vs Predicted
-
15The Citadel0.11-6.31vs Predicted
-
16Georgia Institute of Technology-3.72+0.30vs Predicted
-
17Embry-Riddle University-3.06-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.33Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
-
3.05University of Miami2.270.3%1st Place
-
5.22North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
-
5.81Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
-
5.04University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
-
8.29Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
-
13.48University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
-
5.27University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
-
9.72Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
-
12.51Auburn University-1.270.0%1st Place
-
9.67Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
-
11.59University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
-
9.48Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
-
8.93Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
-
8.69The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
-
16.3Georgia Institute of Technology-3.720.0%1st Place
-
15.63Embry-Riddle University-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 14.2% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 27.8% | 19.8% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 8.9% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 16.2% | 32.9% | 17.4% | 2.4% |
| David Manley | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 19.3% | 9.1% | 1.3% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Marco Distel | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jared Williams | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 22.8% | 64.3% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 11.4% | 42.9% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.