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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.65+2.85vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.28+2.65vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.12+2.11vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.33+0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.27-2.18vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-0.88+4.38vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.17+1.54vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.18+0.68vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.07-1.07vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.29-2.60vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.11-3.13vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-3.35vs Predicted
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13Auburn University-1.27-1.67vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-3.72+0.39vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-3.06-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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4.65University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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5.11Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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4.66North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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2.82University of Miami2.270.3%1st Place
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10.38University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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8.54Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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8.68Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.93Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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7.4Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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7.87The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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8.65Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.33Auburn University-1.270.0%1st Place
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14.39Georgia Institute of Technology-3.720.0%1st Place
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13.76Embry-Riddle University-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 17.8% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 10.8% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 29.9% | 22.4% | 17.6% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marco Distel | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 18.8% | 20.4% | 7.2% | 0.6% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 17.5% | 31.8% | 13.1% | 2.2% |
| Jared Williams | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 4.9% | 26.8% | 63.6% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 47.3% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.