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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology0.29+6.24vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65+1.86vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.12+2.14vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.11+3.81vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.33-0.23vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.27-3.26vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina1.28-2.28vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+0.49vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-1.27+2.25vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College-0.17-1.34vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-0.88-0.57vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.18-3.15vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-3.72+1.45vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.07-6.12vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-3.06-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Georgia Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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3.86Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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5.14Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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7.81The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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4.77North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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2.74University of Miami2.270.3%1st Place
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4.72University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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8.49Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.25Auburn University-1.270.0%1st Place
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8.66Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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8.85Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.45Georgia Institute of Technology-3.720.0%1st Place
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7.88Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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13.72Embry-Riddle University-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theodore Goldenberg | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 16.2% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 11.5% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 30.2% | 24.7% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 11.9% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 31.8% | 10.7% | 1.9% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Marco Distel | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 21.7% | 7.9% | 1.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jared Williams | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 24.2% | 66.6% |
| Carly Orhan | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 50.6% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.