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📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+1.18vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.62+0.60vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.87+3.03vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.15+1.37vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.39vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.06-0.49vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.85vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.80vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.09-0.84vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80+0.93vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.01-3.23vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.88vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-4.83-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Stanford University2.990.4%1st Place
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2.6Stanford University2.620.3%1st Place
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6.03University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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5.37University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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5.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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5.51University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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7.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.93University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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7.77University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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10.12University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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12.9California Poly Maritime Academy-4.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 39.6% | 28.1% | 16.6% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 28.3% | 28.7% | 19.2% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.5% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 20.5% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
| Althea White | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 20.0% | 54.8% | 3.4% |
| Svenja Leonard | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 32.0% | 28.2% | 1.3% |
| madeline rivera | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 94.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.