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📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+1.18vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.15+3.34vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.62-0.34vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.56vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.87+0.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-0.62vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.01+0.78vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.79vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.09-0.87vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.10vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-0.05vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.88vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-4.83-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Stanford University2.990.4%1st Place
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5.34University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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2.66Stanford University2.620.3%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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5.38University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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7.78University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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10.95University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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10.12University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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12.9California Poly Maritime Academy-4.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 39.3% | 28.2% | 16.9% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 28.7% | 26.0% | 19.3% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.6% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 12.5% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 5.3% | 0.2% |
| Florence Duff | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 0.1% |
| Althea White | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 20.8% | 53.4% | 3.3% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 31.3% | 28.2% | 1.1% |
| madeline rivera | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 95.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.