← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University2.13+1.60vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.48+0.22vs Predicted
-
3Queen's University1.95-0.10vs Predicted
-
4Hamilton College0.45+1.16vs Predicted
-
5Colgate University-0.36+1.35vs Predicted
-
6Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-1.08vs Predicted
-
8Syracuse University-0.01-2.12vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Military Academy-0.15-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.6Columbia University2.130.3%1st Place
-
2.22Cornell University2.480.3%1st Place
-
2.9Queen's University1.950.2%1st Place
-
5.16Hamilton College0.450.0%1st Place
-
6.35Colgate University-0.360.0%1st Place
-
4.92Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
-
5.88Syracuse University-0.010.0%1st Place
-
5.97U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Coplon | 26.6% | 25.8% | 22.9% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 35.0% | 29.9% | 20.1% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Throop | 20.9% | 21.6% | 25.6% | 17.8% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| James McManus | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 11.2% |
| Leah Feldman | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 23.2% | 34.4% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 5.6% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 17.8% | 21.8% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 7.8% |
| Kenneth Walz | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 22.2% | 22.6% |
| Phillip Weigand | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 21.3% | 22.2% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.