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📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+1.18vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.62+0.61vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.55vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.44vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.87+0.94vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.21vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.01+0.76vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.09+0.03vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.00vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.15-4.68vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-0.07vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.87vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-4.83-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Stanford University2.990.4%1st Place
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2.61Stanford University2.620.3%1st Place
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5.55University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
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5.44University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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7.76University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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5.32University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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10.93University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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10.13University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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12.9California Poly Maritime Academy-4.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 38.6% | 28.9% | 18.1% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 28.2% | 28.9% | 18.2% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 4.7% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Smith | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 4.7% | 0.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Althea White | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 20.7% | 52.8% | 3.3% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 14.4% | 30.4% | 28.7% | 1.2% |
| madeline rivera | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 3.1% | 95.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.