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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+1.19vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.62+0.60vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.15+2.39vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.57vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.09+3.00vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.87-0.09vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.85vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-2.65vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.01-1.09vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.73-3.73vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.03vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-0.92vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-4.83-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Stanford University2.990.4%1st Place
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2.6Stanford University2.620.3%1st Place
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5.39University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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5.57University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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8.0University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.91University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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7.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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5.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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7.91University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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6.27University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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9.97University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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11.08University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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12.9California Poly Maritime Academy-4.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 39.3% | 26.4% | 19.8% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 29.0% | 28.0% | 18.9% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 4.9% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 32.8% | 23.3% | 1.4% |
| Althea White | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 16.3% | 59.9% | 3.5% |
| madeline rivera | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 3.4% | 95.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.