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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+1.19vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.62+0.65vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.56vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.09+4.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.01+2.77vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.15-0.75vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-1.64vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.78vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.87-2.98vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.08vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.02vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-0.95vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-4.83-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Stanford University2.990.4%1st Place
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2.65Stanford University2.620.3%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.77University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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5.36University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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6.22University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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6.02University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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7.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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9.98University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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11.05University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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12.9California Poly Maritime Academy-4.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 39.2% | 27.8% | 17.3% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 28.3% | 26.7% | 19.1% | 13.8% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 4.8% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 4.3% | 0.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 31.9% | 23.3% | 1.4% |
| Althea White | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 17.5% | 58.6% | 3.5% |
| madeline rivera | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 3.5% | 95.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.