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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+1.64vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+0.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.58vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.45vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.20vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.01+1.83vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.15-1.76vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.87-2.06vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.09-0.85vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.09vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.03vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-0.96vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-4.83-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Stanford University2.620.3%1st Place
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2.16Stanford University2.990.4%1st Place
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5.58University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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7.83University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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9.97University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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11.04University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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12.9California Poly Maritime Academy-4.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 27.9% | 25.4% | 21.1% | 14.0% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 39.8% | 29.4% | 16.4% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 4.2% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 1.9% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 12.5% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 20.0% | 14.5% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Florence Duff | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 31.9% | 23.2% | 1.4% |
| Althea White | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 17.9% | 58.8% | 3.4% |
| madeline rivera | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 3.6% | 94.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.