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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.06+4.55vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+0.17vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.62-0.32vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.47vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.01+2.76vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.15-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.87-2.11vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.01vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.09-1.98vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.02vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-0.93vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-4.83-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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2.17Stanford University2.990.4%1st Place
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2.68Stanford University2.620.3%1st Place
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5.47University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
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7.76University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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7.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.02University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.98University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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11.07University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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12.9California Poly Maritime Academy-4.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 40.2% | 28.1% | 16.9% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 26.5% | 27.6% | 20.1% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 4.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.0% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 13.6% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 5.0% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 32.5% | 23.1% | 1.4% |
| Althea White | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 17.8% | 59.0% | 3.6% |
| madeline rivera | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 3.5% | 94.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.