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📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.15+4.35vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+0.18vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.62-0.34vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.87+1.95vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.52vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.01+1.84vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.81vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.09+0.02vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.00vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-4.60vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.06vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-0.95vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-4.83-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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2.18Stanford University2.990.4%1st Place
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2.66Stanford University2.620.3%1st Place
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5.95University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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5.52University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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7.84University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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8.02University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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5.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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9.94University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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11.05University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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12.9California Poly Maritime Academy-4.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 40.3% | 28.2% | 15.8% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 27.4% | 26.6% | 21.0% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 5.7% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.8% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 19.9% | 12.6% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 16.0% | 32.1% | 22.7% | 1.4% |
| Althea White | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 7.4% | 17.3% | 59.1% | 3.5% |
| madeline rivera | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 3.3% | 95.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.