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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+1.60vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+4.16vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.26+1.73vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.11-2.06vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.09-0.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.29+0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.62-1.04vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07+1.50vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.40-2.42vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.64-1.26vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-2.42+0.60vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.03-2.40vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-2.64-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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6.16University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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4.73University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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1.94Stanford University3.110.4%1st Place
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4.97University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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6.66University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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9.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.58University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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8.74University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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11.6University of California at Santa Cruz-2.420.0%1st Place
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9.6University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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11.96California Poly Maritime Academy-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Schiffman | 25.4% | 30.9% | 19.9% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Carew | 6.7% | 8.1% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 44.9% | 30.9% | 14.7% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.3% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 2.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 24.9% | 15.6% | 3.4% |
| Katherine Olsen | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.3% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Lola Rao | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 15.8% | 31.8% | 35.7% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 21.6% | 15.8% | 5.4% |
| Julia Mast | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 9.3% | 26.0% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.