← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.11+0.95vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.55+0.56vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.26+1.76vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+2.21vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii1.09+0.05vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley0.40+0.50vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.29-0.32vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington0.62-2.04vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-0.64-0.23vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-0.46vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-1.03-1.61vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz-2.42-0.30vs Predicted
-
13California Poly Maritime Academy-2.64-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.95Stanford University3.110.5%1st Place
-
2.56Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
-
4.76University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
-
6.21University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
-
5.05University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
-
6.5University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
-
6.68University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
-
5.96University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
-
8.77University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
-
9.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
-
9.39University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
-
11.7University of California at Santa Cruz-2.420.0%1st Place
-
11.93California Poly Maritime Academy-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 45.7% | 28.4% | 15.7% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 26.1% | 30.6% | 20.7% | 13.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 5.6% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.5% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 2.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 20.2% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 12.5% | 19.0% | 25.0% | 13.8% | 5.3% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 20.0% | 21.0% | 12.7% | 4.5% |
| Lola Rao | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 34.4% | 39.2% |
| Julia Mast | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 28.7% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.