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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+0.83vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+0.42vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.26+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09+0.49vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.40+0.72vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07+2.46vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.64+0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.62-2.74vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.03-0.72vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.08-1.64vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-2.42-0.42vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy-2.64-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83Stanford University3.110.5%1st Place
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2.42Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.18University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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4.49University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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5.72University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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8.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.59University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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5.26University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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8.28University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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8.36University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
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10.58University of California at Santa Cruz-2.420.0%1st Place
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10.81California Poly Maritime Academy-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 48.1% | 31.2% | 13.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 27.3% | 32.6% | 20.6% | 12.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 8.8% | 9.3% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 20.9% | 14.0% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.1% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 20.9% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 20.9% | 20.8% | 12.8% | 3.8% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.4% | 1.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Erin Pamplin | 3.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 20.4% | 10.4% | 2.3% |
| tess McMullin | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 19.2% | 19.3% | 13.2% | 3.8% |
| Lola Rao | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 32.4% | 38.0% |
| Julia Mast | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 11.0% | 24.5% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.