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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+0.82vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+0.42vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07+5.39vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.26+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.40+0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.62-0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.09-2.58vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.03+0.32vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.64-1.45vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.08-1.62vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-2.42-0.42vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy-2.64-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82Stanford University3.110.5%1st Place
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2.42Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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8.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.2University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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5.71University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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4.42University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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8.32University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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7.55University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.38University of California at Los Angeles-1.080.0%1st Place
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10.58University of California at Santa Cruz-2.420.0%1st Place
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10.84California Poly Maritime Academy-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 47.6% | 31.9% | 13.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 27.6% | 31.9% | 21.2% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 20.3% | 20.9% | 13.0% | 3.4% |
| Morgan Carew | 6.4% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 22.7% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 2.8% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.1% | 5.4% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.6% | 8.5% | 15.8% | 20.9% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 20.5% | 11.5% | 3.8% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 18.5% | 12.6% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| tess McMullin | 0.6% | 0.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 18.2% | 20.0% | 12.1% | 4.6% |
| Lola Rao | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 31.3% | 38.5% |
| Julia Mast | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 25.9% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.