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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.95+1.84vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.48+0.21vs Predicted
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3Colgate University-0.36+3.27vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.13-1.33vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.45+0.16vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-2.04vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.01-2.11vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-0.15-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Queen's University1.950.2%1st Place
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2.21Cornell University2.480.4%1st Place
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6.27Colgate University-0.360.0%1st Place
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2.67Columbia University2.130.2%1st Place
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5.16Hamilton College0.450.0%1st Place
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4.96Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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5.89Syracuse University-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.99U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Throop | 22.2% | 22.9% | 24.1% | 16.8% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 36.0% | 28.8% | 20.0% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Feldman | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 21.2% | 34.9% |
| David Coplon | 24.5% | 25.8% | 23.0% | 17.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| James McManus | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 9.9% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 5.3% | 5.6% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 21.3% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 7.5% |
| Kenneth Walz | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 14.9% | 20.1% | 21.2% | 23.2% |
| Phillip Weigand | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 21.1% | 21.3% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.