← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.55+1.60vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+4.16vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.11-1.06vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.26+0.70vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii1.09-0.01vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley0.40+0.43vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington0.62-1.12vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles0.29-1.34vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-0.64-0.34vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-1.03-0.69vs Predicted
-
11California Poly Maritime Academy-2.64+0.57vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz-3.72+0.54vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.6Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
-
6.16University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
-
1.94Stanford University3.110.4%1st Place
-
4.7University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
-
4.99University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
-
6.43University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
-
5.88University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
-
6.66University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
-
8.66University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
-
9.31University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
-
11.57California Poly Maritime Academy-2.640.0%1st Place
-
12.54University of California at Santa Cruz-3.720.0%1st Place
-
9.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Schiffman | 26.5% | 27.7% | 21.8% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 44.6% | 30.4% | 15.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 6.5% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.8% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 2.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 22.2% | 17.3% | 5.9% | 0.8% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 20.0% | 26.0% | 10.9% | 1.9% |
| Julia Mast | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 13.5% | 51.2% | 20.9% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 16.7% | 74.9% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 20.3% | 27.9% | 13.7% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.