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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+0.94vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+0.55vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.26+1.79vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09+1.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.64+3.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+0.15vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07+2.31vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.29-1.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.03+0.39vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.40-3.50vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.62-5.14vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy-2.64-0.36vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-3.72-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Stanford University3.110.5%1st Place
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2.55Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.79University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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8.55University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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6.15University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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9.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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9.39University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.5University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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11.64California Poly Maritime Academy-2.640.0%1st Place
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12.52University of California at Santa Cruz-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 46.5% | 27.1% | 16.8% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 27.2% | 29.1% | 21.4% | 12.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 5.8% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.2% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 21.7% | 18.4% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| harriet jessup | 3.1% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 20.2% | 26.4% | 11.8% | 1.2% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 20.9% | 27.9% | 11.4% | 1.4% |
| Katherine Olsen | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 3.6% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Mast | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 11.9% | 51.4% | 23.9% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 19.1% | 72.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.