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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+0.96vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+0.54vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+3.19vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.26+0.74vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.40+1.49vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.62-0.04vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.64+1.53vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.03+1.31vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.29-2.26vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.09-4.97vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-1.66vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-3.72+0.51vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy-2.64-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Stanford University3.110.4%1st Place
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2.54Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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4.74University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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8.53University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.31University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.74University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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5.03University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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9.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.51University of California at Santa Cruz-3.720.0%1st Place
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11.66California Poly Maritime Academy-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 44.7% | 29.6% | 16.0% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 26.8% | 30.9% | 21.1% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 6.5% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 3.3% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 17.7% | 19.4% | 18.2% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| McKenna Roonan | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 19.5% | 30.5% | 9.8% | 1.2% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.3% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 20.9% | 25.9% | 11.8% | 1.2% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 18.8% | 72.5% |
| Julia Mast | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 11.1% | 51.9% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.