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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+0.92vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+0.55vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+2.10vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.26+0.71vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+1.09vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.40+0.44vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.03+2.26vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.29-1.34vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.62-2.92vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.64-1.34vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-1.63vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy-2.64-0.37vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-3.72-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Stanford University3.110.5%1st Place
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2.55Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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5.1University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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4.71University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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6.44University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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9.26University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.66University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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8.66University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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11.63California Poly Maritime Academy-2.640.0%1st Place
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12.53University of California at Santa Cruz-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 45.9% | 29.3% | 15.1% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hallie Schiffman | 27.3% | 30.2% | 20.3% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.7% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 6.6% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 4.1% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 18.0% | 29.5% | 10.5% | 1.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 20.5% | 18.3% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 21.2% | 25.8% | 11.5% | 1.5% |
| Julia Mast | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 11.3% | 51.3% | 23.9% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 19.1% | 72.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.