Race 4A

north-points-uofsc

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charles Mckenzie 42.4% 24.6% 15.9% 9.6% 4.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Gregory Walters 13.3% 17.1% 16.7% 16.4% 15.4% 11.4% 6.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Carolina Cassedy 11.9% 12.6% 15.5% 17.6% 16.5% 13.3% 7.9% 3.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Ian Street 7.1% 12.5% 15.1% 14.6% 17.1% 16.2% 11.3% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3%
Cole Woerner 5.3% 7.3% 7.8% 9.1% 11.5% 18.9% 19.2% 12.8% 6.6% 1.5%
Thomas Gallant 2.2% 2.1% 2.7% 3.8% 5.5% 8.6% 12.9% 22.9% 24.4% 14.9%
Harrison Bailey 13.8% 18.1% 17.7% 18.3% 14.8% 9.9% 4.4% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Samuel Trimble 0.3% 1.0% 1.1% 2.3% 3.4% 3.2% 7.0% 16.8% 25.9% 39.0%
Nevin Williams 1.0% 1.0% 1.5% 1.3% 2.1% 4.2% 7.7% 12.9% 28.2% 40.1%
Sara Boyd 2.7% 3.7% 6.0% 7.0% 9.4% 12.0% 22.2% 21.1% 11.8% 4.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.