← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gregory Walters 14.4% 17.1% 17.4% 17.0% 15.0% 10.5% 4.7% 3.0% 0.6% 0.3%
Ian Street 9.2% 9.5% 15.4% 15.2% 16.9% 14.8% 11.9% 4.9% 2.1% 0.1%
Carolina Cassedy 12.0% 13.1% 15.1% 16.3% 18.7% 12.7% 7.9% 3.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Charles Mckenzie 39.3% 28.8% 17.2% 8.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Woerner 4.8% 6.3% 7.7% 11.1% 11.4% 18.5% 19.5% 13.5% 5.7% 1.5%
Harrison Bailey 14.5% 17.4% 18.8% 16.9% 14.6% 9.4% 6.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Thomas Gallant 1.4% 1.6% 1.8% 3.3% 4.7% 8.5% 14.4% 23.9% 25.8% 14.6%
Sara Boyd 2.6% 4.6% 4.6% 8.3% 9.1% 15.0% 19.6% 20.3% 12.3% 3.6%
Samuel Trimble 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 2.5% 4.2% 8.0% 13.2% 28.1% 39.8%
Nevin Williams 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 2.0% 3.3% 4.5% 7.3% 15.9% 24.6% 40.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.