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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.28+1.74vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.54+0.43vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.67+2.38vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.65-1.71vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.11-0.84vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-0.24vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-0.22vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-2.39-0.24vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-2.67-0.85vs Predicted
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10-4.27-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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2.43North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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5.38Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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2.29College of Charleston1.650.3%1st Place
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4.16The Citadel0.110.1%1st Place
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5.76Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.78University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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7.76University of South Carolina-2.390.0%1st Place
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8.15Auburn University-2.670.0%1st Place
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9.56-4.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 22.7% | 25.9% | 23.7% | 15.2% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 29.0% | 26.6% | 24.9% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 12.6% | 22.0% | 25.6% | 17.7% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Homberger | 31.9% | 29.0% | 23.0% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 8.0% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 26.8% | 23.6% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tan Tonge | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 10.7% | 18.4% | 22.1% | 20.8% | 13.3% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Felicity Davies | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 19.1% | 26.9% | 22.1% | 11.2% | 2.0% |
| Eilis McLaughlin | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 27.0% | 31.8% | 7.3% |
| Carter Adams | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 23.7% | 39.5% | 13.1% |
| Noah Wetz | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 12.3% | 77.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.