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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University2.13+1.59vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.95+0.91vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.48-0.78vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-0.03vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College0.45-0.88vs Predicted
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7Colgate University-0.36-0.66vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-0.15-2.92vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.01-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Columbia University2.130.3%1st Place
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2.91Queen's University1.950.2%1st Place
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2.22Cornell University2.480.4%1st Place
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4.97Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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5.12Hamilton College0.450.0%1st Place
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6.34Colgate University-0.360.0%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.76Syracuse University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Coplon | 25.7% | 27.3% | 23.6% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Paul Throop | 20.5% | 21.8% | 25.0% | 18.3% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 37.4% | 26.8% | 19.7% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 21.2% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 8.0% |
| James McManus | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 16.3% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 9.5% |
| Leah Feldman | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 20.8% | 35.3% |
| Phillip Weigand | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 18.2% | 21.7% | 28.6% |
| Kenneth Walz | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 20.3% | 22.3% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.