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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.28+1.75vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.11+2.27vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina-2.39+4.81vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.65-1.73vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.67+0.32vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.54-3.60vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-1.16vs Predicted
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8Auburn University-2.67+0.06vs Predicted
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9-4.27+0.55vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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4.27The Citadel0.110.1%1st Place
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7.81University of South Carolina-2.390.0%1st Place
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2.27College of Charleston1.650.3%1st Place
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5.32Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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2.4North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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5.84Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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8.06Auburn University-2.670.0%1st Place
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9.55-4.270.0%1st Place
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6.72University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 22.0% | 24.8% | 26.2% | 15.5% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 7.7% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 26.6% | 23.5% | 13.7% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eilis McLaughlin | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 15.7% | 29.2% | 32.3% | 7.2% |
| Ethan Homberger | 32.2% | 30.0% | 22.2% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 12.8% | 22.3% | 25.0% | 15.3% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Usher | 29.5% | 27.6% | 24.0% | 12.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 10.2% | 18.4% | 26.0% | 20.3% | 12.7% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Carter Adams | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 13.6% | 22.1% | 37.3% | 12.9% |
| Noah Wetz | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 12.9% | 77.3% |
| Felicity Davies | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 25.0% | 23.2% | 11.6% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.