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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.65+1.28vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.67+3.40vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.54-0.56vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96+1.82vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.11-0.80vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina1.28-3.32vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-2.39+0.81vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-1.32vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-2.67-0.89vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-4.27-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28College of Charleston1.650.3%1st Place
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5.4Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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2.44North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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5.82Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.2The Citadel0.110.1%1st Place
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2.68University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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7.81University of South Carolina-2.390.0%1st Place
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6.68University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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8.11Auburn University-2.670.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Georgia-4.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Homberger | 33.3% | 29.4% | 19.7% | 12.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 13.2% | 23.4% | 23.8% | 16.7% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Usher | 27.8% | 25.6% | 27.4% | 14.0% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 10.2% | 18.2% | 25.8% | 20.8% | 11.6% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Lewis Bragg | 7.2% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 24.7% | 22.8% | 13.2% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 24.2% | 23.0% | 27.1% | 15.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eilis McLaughlin | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 29.2% | 32.0% | 7.4% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 25.5% | 22.7% | 11.5% | 1.4% |
| Carter Adams | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 14.2% | 22.0% | 38.3% | 13.1% |
| Noah Wetz | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 11.9% | 77.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.