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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.65+1.25vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.54+0.38vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.28-0.33vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.11+0.16vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00+3.10vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.67-0.82vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-1.42vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-2.39-0.58vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-2.67-1.17vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-4.27-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25College of Charleston1.650.3%1st Place
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2.38North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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2.67University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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4.16The Citadel0.110.1%1st Place
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8.1University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
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5.18Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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5.58Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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7.42University of South Carolina-2.390.0%1st Place
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7.83Auburn University-2.670.0%1st Place
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9.42University of Georgia-4.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Homberger | 34.3% | 28.7% | 20.4% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 29.8% | 28.3% | 24.5% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 22.2% | 25.0% | 25.4% | 19.4% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 6.0% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 26.5% | 24.2% | 14.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moore | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 15.0% | 23.1% | 34.1% | 15.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 13.5% | 24.9% | 25.8% | 15.2% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.0% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 11.4% | 22.5% | 29.5% | 18.5% | 7.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Eilis McLaughlin | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 24.2% | 27.4% | 21.4% | 4.7% |
| Carter Adams | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 19.0% | 29.0% | 27.3% | 9.7% |
| Noah Wetz | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 14.6% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.