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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.28+1.70vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.11+2.16vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96+2.55vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.54-1.64vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.65-2.75vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.67-0.86vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.00+1.22vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-2.39-0.59vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-2.67-1.19vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-4.27-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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4.16The Citadel0.110.1%1st Place
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5.55Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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2.36North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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2.25College of Charleston1.650.3%1st Place
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5.14Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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8.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.000.0%1st Place
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7.41University of South Carolina-2.390.0%1st Place
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7.81Auburn University-2.670.0%1st Place
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9.41University of Georgia-4.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 22.2% | 25.9% | 25.5% | 15.9% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 7.3% | 7.1% | 14.4% | 28.8% | 25.2% | 11.8% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 11.2% | 18.8% | 32.8% | 17.3% | 8.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Usher | 28.7% | 30.8% | 22.9% | 12.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Homberger | 34.0% | 27.7% | 22.8% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 14.5% | 27.2% | 25.1% | 13.8% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christine Moore | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 6.0% | 15.1% | 24.6% | 33.7% | 16.3% |
| Eilis McLaughlin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 24.6% | 29.1% | 19.4% | 4.9% |
| Carter Adams | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 19.9% | 26.2% | 27.4% | 10.3% |
| Noah Wetz | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 17.7% | 68.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.