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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.48+1.17vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.95+0.91vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.13-0.36vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-0.15+1.06vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-1.02vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College0.45-1.90vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.01-2.12vs Predicted
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9Colgate University-0.36-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Cornell University2.480.4%1st Place
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2.91Queen's University1.950.2%1st Place
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2.64Columbia University2.130.2%1st Place
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6.06U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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4.98Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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5.1Hamilton College0.450.0%1st Place
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5.88Syracuse University-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.27Colgate University-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 38.2% | 28.2% | 18.9% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Throop | 20.6% | 22.2% | 25.1% | 16.8% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| David Coplon | 24.9% | 26.5% | 22.8% | 15.9% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Phillip Weigand | 1.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 24.2% | 25.9% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 19.7% | 13.8% | 8.5% |
| James McManus | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 17.3% | 20.4% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 10.1% |
| Kenneth Walz | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 23.0% | 23.1% |
| Leah Feldman | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 22.1% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.