← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Stony Brook-0.45+0.61vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook-1.04+0.08vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Military Academy-2.37+0.20vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Military Academy-2.27-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.61SUNY Stony Brook-0.4554.4%1st Place
-
2.08SUNY Stony Brook-1.0430.2%1st Place
-
3.2U. S. Military Academy-2.376.9%1st Place
-
3.12U. S. Military Academy-2.278.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Glukhov | 54.4% | 32.0% | 11.9% | 1.6% |
| Alexandra Leen | 30.2% | 39.1% | 23.4% | 7.2% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 6.9% | 13.9% | 31.9% | 47.3% |
| Sarra Salah | 8.4% | 14.9% | 32.8% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.