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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College-0.79+4.55vs Predicted
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2Embry-Riddle University0.84+1.12vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.25+1.09vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.97-1.05vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.28vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.23-1.87vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.25-2.91vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.55-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Rollins College-0.790.1%1st Place
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3.12Embry-Riddle University0.840.2%1st Place
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4.09Jacksonville University0.250.1%1st Place
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2.95Florida State University0.970.2%1st Place
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4.72Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.1%1st Place
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4.13University of South Florida0.230.1%1st Place
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4.09Jacksonville University0.250.1%1st Place
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3.45University of Miami0.550.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Ciniski | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 46.7% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Quinn | 20.6% | 22.3% | 19.8% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Parker | 12.1% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 24.3% | 20.9% | 21.2% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 23.2% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Brustoski | 11.8% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Parker | 12.1% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Marina Geilen | 18.7% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.