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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+7.45vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.54vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+4.64vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+1.23vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.02+3.19vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+2.29vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.38+1.40vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.22-0.35vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.29-1.61vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.26vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.45-3.95vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.87+0.28vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.14-1.57vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.22+1.09vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-2.48vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.09-3.76vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.42-3.14vs Predicted
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18Brown University1.86-7.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45Roger Williams University2.095.3%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.9%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College2.386.5%1st Place
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5.23Yale University2.4214.6%1st Place
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8.19Boston College2.026.7%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island2.785.5%1st Place
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8.4Bowdoin College2.387.0%1st Place
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7.65Tufts University2.226.8%1st Place
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7.39Yale University2.297.3%1st Place
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7.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.328.1%1st Place
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7.05Harvard University2.459.2%1st Place
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12.28University of Vermont0.872.0%1st Place
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11.43Boston University1.143.2%1st Place
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15.09Olin College of Engineering0.221.1%1st Place
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12.52Northeastern University1.071.8%1st Place
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12.24Connecticut College1.092.2%1st Place
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13.86Fairfield University0.421.2%1st Place
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10.01Brown University1.863.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Robby Meek | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 9.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| James Jagielski | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 38.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 10.4% |
| Duncan Craine | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 8.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 20.9% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.