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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.89+0.88vs Predicted
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2Columbia University2.13+0.75vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.95-0.02vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College0.45+1.18vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.00vs Predicted
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7Colgate University-0.36-0.68vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.01-2.10vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-0.15-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Cornell University2.890.5%1st Place
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2.75Columbia University2.130.2%1st Place
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2.98Queen's University1.950.2%1st Place
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5.18Hamilton College0.450.0%1st Place
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5.0Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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6.32Colgate University-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.9Syracuse University-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.99U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Andrews | 47.4% | 29.0% | 14.8% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Coplon | 20.4% | 26.7% | 26.0% | 15.3% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Paul Throop | 17.4% | 21.3% | 28.2% | 18.5% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| James McManus | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 19.4% | 17.3% | 10.4% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 4.6% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 17.9% | 22.6% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 7.8% |
| Leah Feldman | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 17.5% | 19.7% | 35.3% |
| Kenneth Walz | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 19.8% | 22.8% | 22.3% |
| Phillip Weigand | 1.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 14.3% | 19.8% | 22.9% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.