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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+4.40vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+5.58vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.86+6.82vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+4.34vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.09+3.49vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.75vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.29+0.41vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.02+0.31vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.47vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.38-1.63vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14+0.37vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.38-4.55vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.22+2.02vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.45-7.07vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.07-2.21vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.09-3.71vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.87-4.70vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.42-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4Yale University2.4213.1%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University2.227.2%1st Place
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9.82Brown University1.864.2%1st Place
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8.34University of Rhode Island2.786.3%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University2.096.5%1st Place
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7.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.326.3%1st Place
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7.41Yale University2.298.2%1st Place
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8.31Boston College2.025.8%1st Place
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7.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.1%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College2.386.3%1st Place
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11.37Boston University1.142.2%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College2.387.8%1st Place
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15.02Olin College of Engineering0.221.2%1st Place
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6.93Harvard University2.458.4%1st Place
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12.79Northeastern University1.071.9%1st Place
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12.29Connecticut College1.092.1%1st Place
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12.3University of Vermont0.872.2%1st Place
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13.84Fairfield University0.421.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| William Michels | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 16.9% | 38.0% |
| Robby Meek | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 11.2% |
| Duncan Craine | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 8.7% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.