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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.89+0.87vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College0.45+3.20vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.56+1.95vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.13-1.25vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.95-2.01vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.01-1.16vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-0.15-1.92vs Predicted
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9Colgate University-0.36-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Cornell University2.890.5%1st Place
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5.2Hamilton College0.450.0%1st Place
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4.95Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
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2.75Columbia University2.130.2%1st Place
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2.99Queen's University1.950.2%1st Place
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5.84Syracuse University-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.31Colgate University-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Andrews | 48.5% | 28.3% | 14.3% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James McManus | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 14.0% | 23.1% | 19.7% | 15.9% | 10.1% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 20.4% | 21.0% | 13.2% | 8.1% |
| David Coplon | 20.4% | 25.2% | 27.1% | 17.5% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Paul Throop | 15.9% | 24.5% | 25.9% | 18.8% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kenneth Walz | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 22.3% | 21.1% |
| Phillip Weigand | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 16.9% | 23.3% | 28.2% |
| Leah Feldman | 1.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 23.4% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.