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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Valerio Palamara 7.2% 7.4% 9.9% 8.6% 7.6% 10.6% 9.8% 10.4% 9.3% 7.1% 6.8% 3.8% 0.7% 0.8%
Zachariah Schemel 5.8% 6.5% 6.5% 9.1% 8.3% 7.6% 7.8% 11.2% 10.2% 10.7% 8.5% 4.9% 1.9% 1.0%
Eden Nykamp 7.5% 8.7% 7.2% 7.4% 7.5% 9.2% 10.3% 10.6% 10.7% 9.0% 7.1% 2.9% 1.5% 0.4%
Scott Harris 15.6% 15.7% 13.2% 13.2% 8.8% 10.2% 8.9% 5.5% 4.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 11.4% 13.2% 13.5% 11.4% 10.3% 9.7% 9.9% 7.0% 7.0% 3.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Atlee Kohl 16.6% 15.6% 15.4% 11.8% 11.9% 8.4% 7.5% 5.6% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Seamus Hendrickson 3.0% 3.4% 3.7% 3.6% 5.4% 5.8% 5.9% 6.3% 10.5% 11.8% 11.7% 15.0% 10.4% 3.5%
Alex Bowdler 10.2% 8.3% 8.8% 10.9% 9.9% 9.7% 9.2% 10.3% 7.1% 6.6% 4.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Mateo Rodriguez 12.8% 12.1% 11.4% 12.3% 12.8% 11.0% 9.4% 6.7% 4.8% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel Hodges 4.1% 2.9% 3.6% 4.5% 5.9% 6.8% 8.4% 9.5% 11.0% 12.4% 13.0% 9.0% 6.3% 2.6%
Kyle Meyhoefer 0.2% 1.5% 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 1.9% 2.4% 4.7% 6.2% 7.0% 13.7% 26.3% 31.3%
Connor Teague 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% 1.6% 2.3% 2.9% 4.6% 7.0% 13.6% 23.1% 39.2%
Matthew Beretta 2.0% 0.8% 1.4% 1.8% 2.7% 2.6% 3.0% 3.9% 5.7% 6.7% 12.1% 18.9% 20.1% 18.3%
Thomas Pappas 3.2% 3.2% 3.6% 3.1% 5.9% 6.1% 6.4% 8.3% 8.1% 12.5% 15.6% 12.7% 8.4% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.