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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+5.35vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.51+4.96vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.74+3.50vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.54+0.37vs Predicted
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5Princeton University2.35-0.08vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.66-1.82vs Predicted
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7University of Kansas0.80+1.94vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.98-2.15vs Predicted
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9Florida State University2.38-4.16vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.11-1.64vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31+0.84vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.51+0.14vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.07-2.08vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.89-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.96University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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6.5Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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4.37North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.92Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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8.94University of Kansas0.800.0%1st Place
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5.85Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.84Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.36Christopher Newport University1.110.0%1st Place
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11.84Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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12.14Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
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10.92Northwestern University0.070.0%1st Place
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8.82Jacksonville University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Scott Harris | 15.6% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 11.4% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 16.6% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 3.5% |
| Alex Bowdler | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 13.7% | 26.3% | 31.3% |
| Connor Teague | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 13.6% | 23.1% | 39.2% |
| Matthew Beretta | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 20.1% | 18.3% |
| Thomas Pappas | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.