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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+2.99vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.74+4.27vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.51+4.11vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.38+0.80vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University2.54-0.61vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.74+0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Kansas0.80+1.85vs Predicted
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8Princeton University2.35-3.21vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31+2.78vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.77-3.55vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-0.51+1.15vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.07-1.05vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.11-4.80vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.89-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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6.27Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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7.11University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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4.8Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.39North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.55Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Kansas0.800.0%1st Place
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4.79Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.78Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.45Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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12.15Rollins College-0.510.0%1st Place
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10.95Northwestern University0.070.0%1st Place
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8.2Christopher Newport University1.110.0%1st Place
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8.74Jacksonville University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 19.7% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 11.9% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 14.0% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 8.3% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Connor Mraz | 13.7% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 15.8% | 24.8% | 31.3% |
| Valerio Palamara | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Connor Teague | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 21.9% | 41.1% |
| Matthew Beretta | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 23.8% | 16.9% |
| Daniel Hodges | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Pappas | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.