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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Cornell University2.48+0.27vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.95+0.02vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.13-1.26vs Predicted
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5Colgate University0.82-0.23vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.43-0.57vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-0.24-0.62vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-0.15-2.72vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Cornell University2.480.4%1st Place
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3.02Queen's University1.950.2%1st Place
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2.74Columbia University2.130.2%1st Place
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4.77Colgate University0.820.1%1st Place
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5.43Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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6.38Hamilton College-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Military Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.11Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 36.1% | 27.9% | 18.7% | 10.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Paul Throop | 19.6% | 21.4% | 23.6% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| David Coplon | 24.3% | 24.3% | 23.4% | 15.3% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Libby | 6.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 19.5% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 6.2% |
| Harmen Rockler | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 18.1% | 19.2% | 21.9% | 12.7% |
| Nathan Burbank | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 21.4% | 36.6% |
| Phillip Weigand | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 16.0% | 22.6% | 34.7% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 19.3% | 19.7% | 17.2% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.